Saturday, March 7, 2026

The Unintended Orchestrator – O’Reilly

That is the primary article in a sequence on agentic engineering and AI-driven improvement. Search for the subsequent article on March 19 on O’Reilly Radar.

There’s been plenty of hype about AI and software program improvement, and it is available in two flavors. One says, “We’re all doomed, that instruments like Claude Code will make software program engineering out of date inside a yr.” The opposite says, “Don’t fear, all the things’s advantageous, AI is simply one other device within the toolbox.” Neither is trustworthy.

I’ve spent over 20 years writing about software program improvement for practitioners, masking all the things from coding and structure to venture administration and group dynamics. For the final two years I’ve been targeted on AI, coaching builders to make use of these instruments successfully, writing about what works and what doesn’t in books, articles, and stories. And I stored working into the identical drawback: I had but to search out anybody with a coherent reply for a way skilled builders ought to really work with these instruments. There are many ideas and loads of hype however little or no construction, and little or no you may apply, educate, critique, or enhance.

I’d been observing builders at work utilizing AI with varied ranges of success, and I spotted we have to begin enthusiastic about this as its personal self-discipline. Andrej Karpathy, the previous head of AI at Tesla and a founding member of OpenAI, lately proposed the time period “agentic engineering” for disciplined improvement with AI brokers, and others like Addy Osmani are getting on board. Osmani’s framing is that AI brokers deal with implementation however the human owns the structure, opinions each diff, and exams relentlessly. I believe that’s proper.

However I’ve spent plenty of the final two years instructing builders methods to use instruments like Claude Code, agent mode in Copilot, Cursor, and others, and what I maintain listening to is that they already know they need to be reviewing the AI’s output, sustaining the structure, writing exams, retaining documentation present, and staying in command of the codebase. They know methods to do it in idea. However they get caught making an attempt to use it in apply: How do you really assessment hundreds of strains of AI-generated code? How do you retain the structure coherent if you’re working throughout a number of AI instruments over weeks? How have you learnt when the AI is confidently unsuitable? And it’s not simply junior builders who’re having bother with agentic engineering. I’ve talked to senior engineers who battle with the shift to agentic instruments, and intermediate builders who take to it naturally. The distinction isn’t essentially the years of expertise; it’s whether or not they’ve found out an efficient and structured solution to work with AI coding instruments. That hole between figuring out what builders ought to be doing with agentic engineering and figuring out methods to combine it into their day-to-day work is an actual supply of hysteria for lots of engineers proper now. That’s the hole this sequence is making an attempt to fill.

Regardless of what a lot of the hype about agentic engineering is telling you, this sort of improvement doesn’t get rid of the necessity for developer experience; simply the alternative. Working successfully with AI brokers really raises the bar for what builders have to know. I wrote about that have hole in an earlier O’Reilly Radar piece known as “The Cognitive Shortcut Paradox.” The builders who get essentially the most from working with AI coding instruments are those who already know what good software program seems to be like, and might typically inform if the AI wrote it.

The concept AI instruments work greatest when skilled builders are driving them matched all the things I’d noticed. It rang true, and I wished to show it in a method that different builders would perceive: by constructing software program. So I began constructing a particular, sensible method to agentic engineering constructed for builders to observe, after which I put it to the check. I used it to construct a manufacturing system from scratch, with the rule that AI would write all of the code. I wanted a venture that was complicated sufficient to stress-test the method, and fascinating sufficient to maintain me engaged by means of the exhausting elements. I wished to use all the things I’d discovered and uncover what I nonetheless didn’t know. That’s once I got here again to Monte Carlo simulations.

The experiment

I’ve been obsessive about Monte Carlo simulations ever since I used to be a child. My dad’s an epidemiologist—his entire profession has been about discovering patterns in messy inhabitants knowledge, which implies statistics was at all times a part of our lives (and it additionally implies that I discovered SPSS at a really early age). After I was perhaps 11 he informed me in regards to the drunken sailor drawback: A sailor leaves a bar on a pier, taking a random step towards the water or towards his ship every time. Does he fall in or make it house? You possibly can’t know from any single run. However run the simulation a thousand instances, and the sample emerges from the noise. The person final result is random; the mixture is predictable.

I bear in mind writing that simulation in BASIC on my TRS-80 Coloration Pc 2: just a little blocky sailor stumbling throughout the display, two steps ahead, one step again. The drunken sailor is the “Good day, world” of Monte Carlo simulations. Monte Carlo is a way for issues you may’t resolve analytically: You simulate them lots of or hundreds of instances and measure the mixture outcomes. Every particular person run is random, however the statistics converge on the true reply because the pattern dimension grows. It’s a method we mannequin all the things from nuclear physics to monetary threat to the unfold of illness throughout populations.

What in case you might run that sort of simulation at this time by describing it in plain English? Not a toy demo however hundreds of iterations with seeded randomness for reproducibility, the place the outputs get validated and the outcomes get aggregated into precise statistics you should use. Or a pipeline the place an LLM generates content material, a second LLM scores it, and something that doesn’t go will get despatched again for an additional strive.

The aim of my experiment was to construct that system, which I known as Octobatch. Proper now, the business is consistently on the lookout for new real-world end-to-end case research in agentic engineering, and I wished Octobatch to be precisely that case research.

I took all the things I’d discovered from instructing and observing builders working with AI, put it to the check by constructing an actual system from scratch, and turned the teachings right into a structured method to agentic engineering I’m calling AI-driven improvement, or AIDD. That is the primary article in a sequence about what agentic engineering seems to be like in apply, what it calls for from the developer, and how one can apply it to your personal work.

The result’s a totally functioning, well-tested software that consists of about 21,000 strains of Python throughout a number of dozen recordsdata, backed by full specs, almost a thousand automated exams, and high quality integration and regression check suites. I used Claude Cowork to assessment all of the AI chats from the complete venture, and it seems that I constructed the complete software in roughly 75 hours of lively improvement time over seven weeks. For comparability, I constructed Octobatch in simply over half the time I spent final yr enjoying Blue Prince.

However this sequence isn’t nearly Octobatch. I built-in AI instruments at each stage: Claude and Gemini collaborating on structure, Claude Code writing the implementation, LLMs producing the pipelines that run on the system they helped construct. This sequence is about what I discovered from that course of: the patterns that labored, the failures that taught me essentially the most, and the orchestration mindset that ties all of it collectively. Every article pulls a unique lesson from the experiment, from validation structure to multi-LLM coordination to the values that stored the venture on observe.

Agentic engineering and AI-driven improvement

When most individuals speak about utilizing AI to jot down code, they imply certainly one of two issues: AI coding assistants like GitHub Copilot, Cursor, or Windsurf, which have developed effectively past autocomplete into agentic instruments that may run multifile enhancing periods and outline customized brokers; or “vibe coding,” the place you describe what you need in pure language and settle for no matter comes again. These coding assistants are genuinely spectacular, and vibe coding might be actually productive.

Utilizing these instruments successfully on an actual venture, nevertheless, sustaining architectural coherence throughout hundreds of strains of AI-generated code, is a unique drawback solely. AIDD goals to assist resolve that drawback. It’s a structured method to agentic engineering the place AI instruments drive substantial parts of the implementation, structure, and even venture administration, when you, the human within the loop, resolve what will get constructed and whether or not it’s any good. By “construction,” I imply a set of practices builders can be taught and observe, a solution to know whether or not the AI’s output is definitely good, and a solution to keep on observe throughout the lifetime of a venture. If agentic engineering is the self-discipline, AIDD is one solution to apply it.

In AI-driven improvement, builders don’t simply settle for solutions or hope the output is appropriate. They assign particular roles to particular instruments: one LLM for structure planning, one other for code execution, a coding agent for implementation, and the human for imaginative and prescient, verification, and the selections that require understanding the entire system.

And the “pushed” half is literal. The AI is writing virtually all the code. One in all my floor guidelines for the Octobatch experiment was that I’d let AI write all of it. I’ve excessive code high quality requirements, and a part of the experiment was seeing whether or not AIDD might produce a system that meets them. The human decides what will get constructed, evaluates whether or not it’s proper, and maintains the constraints that maintain the system coherent.

Not everybody agrees on how a lot the developer wants to remain within the loop, and the totally autonomous finish of the spectrum is already producing cautionary tales. Nicholas Carlini at Anthropic lately tasked 16 Claude situations to construct a C compiler in parallel with no human within the loop. After 2,000 periods and $20,000 in API prices, the brokers produced a 100,000-line compiler that may construct a Linux kernel however isn’t a drop-in substitute for something, and when all 16 brokers obtained caught on the identical bug, Carlini needed to step again in and partition the work himself. Even sturdy advocates of a totally hands-off, vibe-driven method to agentic engineering may name {that a} step too far. The query is how a lot human judgment you might want to make that code reliable, and what particular practices provide help to apply that judgment successfully.

The orchestration mindset

If you wish to get builders enthusiastic about agentic engineering in the suitable method, you need to begin with how they give thought to working with AI, not simply what instruments they use. That’s the place I began once I started constructing a structured method, and it’s why I began with habits. I developed a framework for these known as the Sens-AI Framework, printed as each an O’Reilly report (Vital Pondering Habits for Coding with AI) and a Radar sequence. It’s constructed round 5 practices: offering context, doing analysis earlier than prompting, framing issues exactly, iterating intentionally on outputs, and making use of vital considering to all the things the AI produces. I began there as a result of habits are the way you lock in the best way you concentrate on the way you’re working. With out them, AI-driven improvement produces plausible-looking code that falls aside below scrutiny. With them, it produces programs {that a} single developer couldn’t construct alone in the identical timeframe.

Habits are the inspiration, however they’re not the entire image. AIDD additionally has practices (concrete methods like multi-LLM coordination, context file administration, and utilizing one mannequin to validate one other’s output) and values (the ideas behind these practices). When you’ve labored with Agile methodologies like Scrum or XP, that construction ought to be fairly acquainted: Practices let you know methods to work day-to-day, and habits are the reflexes you develop in order that the practices change into automated.

Values typically appear weirdly theoretical, however they’re an essential piece of the puzzle as a result of they information your choices when the practices don’t offer you a transparent reply. There’s an rising tradition round agentic engineering proper now, and the values you deliver to your venture both match or conflict with that tradition. Understanding the place the values come from is what makes the practices stick. All of that results in a complete new mindset, what I’m calling the orchestration mindset. This sequence builds all 4 layers, utilizing Octobatch because the proving floor.

Octobatch was a deliberate experiment in AIDD. I designed the venture as a check case for the complete method, to see what a disciplined AI-driven workflow might produce and the place it might break down, and I used it to use and enhance the practices and values to make them efficient and simple to undertake. And whether or not by intuition or coincidence, I picked the right venture for this experiment. Octobatch is a batch orchestrator. It coordinates asynchronous jobs, manages state throughout failures, tracks dependencies between pipeline steps, and makes positive validated outcomes come out the opposite finish. That sort of system is enjoyable to design however plenty of the small print, like state machines, retry logic, crash restoration, and value accounting, might be tedious to implement. It’s precisely the sort of work the place AIDD ought to shine, as a result of the patterns are effectively understood however the implementation is repetitive and error-prone.

Orchestration—the work of coordinating a number of impartial processes towards a coherent final result—developed right into a core concept behind AIDD. I discovered myself orchestrating LLMs the identical method Octobatch orchestrates batch jobs: assigning roles, managing handoffs, validating outputs, recovering from failures. The system I used to be constructing and the method I used to be utilizing to construct it adopted the identical sample. I didn’t anticipate it once I began, however constructing a system that orchestrates AI seems to be a reasonably good solution to learn to orchestrate AI. That’s the unintended a part of the unintended orchestrator. That parallel runs by means of each article on this sequence.

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The trail to batch

I didn’t start the Octobatch venture by beginning with a full end-to-end Monte Carlo simulation. I began the place most individuals begin: typing prompts right into a chat interface. I used to be experimenting with completely different simulation and era concepts to present the venture some construction, and some of them caught. A blackjack technique comparability turned out to be an excellent check case for a multistep Monte Carlo simulation. NPC dialogue era for a role-playing sport gave me a artistic workload with subjective high quality to measure. Each had the identical form: a set of structured inputs, every processed the identical method. So I had Claude write a easy script to automate what I’d been doing by hand, and I used Gemini to double-check the work, be certain Claude actually understood my ask, and repair hallucinations. It labored advantageous at small scale, however as soon as I began working greater than 100 or so models, I stored hitting fee limits, the caps that suppliers placed on what number of API requests you can also make per minute.

That’s what pushed me to LLM batch APIs. As an alternative of sending particular person prompts one by one and ready for every response, the main LLM suppliers all supply batch APIs that allow you to submit a file containing all your requests without delay. The supplier processes them on their very own schedule; you look ahead to outcomes as an alternative of getting them instantly, however you don’t have to fret about fee caps. I used to be comfortable to find additionally they price 50% much less, and that’s once I began monitoring token utilization and prices in earnest. However the true shock was that batch APIs carried out higher than real-time APIs at scale. As soon as pipelines obtained previous the 100- or 200-unit mark, batch began working considerably quicker than actual time. The supplier processes the entire batch in parallel on their infrastructure, so that you’re not bottlenecked by round-trip latency or fee caps anymore.

The swap to batch APIs modified how I thought of the entire drawback of coordinating LLM API calls at scale, and led to the thought of configurable pipelines. I might chain phases collectively: The output of 1 step might change into the enter to the subsequent, and I might kick off the entire pipeline and are available again to completed outcomes. It seems I wasn’t the one one making the shift to batch APIs. Between April 2024 and July 2025, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google all launched batch APIs, converging on the identical pricing mannequin: 50% of the real-time fee in trade for asynchronous processing.

You in all probability didn’t discover that each one three main AI suppliers launched batch APIs. The business dialog was dominated by brokers, device use, MCP, and real-time reasoning. Batch APIs shipped with comparatively little fanfare, however they signify a real shift in how we will use LLMs. As an alternative of treating them as conversational companions or one-shot SaaS APIs, we will deal with them as processing infrastructure, nearer to a MapReduce job than a chatbot. You give them structured knowledge and a immediate template, they usually course of all of it and hand again the outcomes. What issues is that you may now run tens of hundreds of those transformations reliably, at scale, with out managing fee limits or connection failures.

Why orchestration?

If batch APIs are so helpful, why can’t you simply write a for-loop that submits requests and collects outcomes? You possibly can, and for easy instances a fast script with a for-loop works advantageous. However when you begin working bigger workloads, the issues begin to pile up. Fixing these issues turned out to be one of the vital essential classes for creating a structured method to agentic engineering.

First, batch jobs are asynchronous. You submit a job, and outcomes come again hours later, so your script wants to trace what was submitted and ballot for completion. In case your script crashes within the center, you lose that state. Second, batch jobs can partially fail. Perhaps 97% of your requests succeeded and three% didn’t. Your code wants to determine which 3% failed, extract them, and resubmit simply these objects. Third, in case you’re constructing a multistage pipeline the place the output of 1 step feeds into the subsequent, you might want to observe dependencies between phases. And fourth, you want price accounting. While you’re working tens of hundreds of requests, you wish to understand how a lot you spent, and ideally, how a lot you’re going to spend if you first begin the batch. Each certainly one of these has a direct parallel to what you’re doing in agentic engineering: retaining observe of the work a number of AI brokers are doing without delay, coping with code failures and bugs, ensuring the complete venture stays coherent when AI coding instruments are solely wanting on the one half presently in context, and stepping again to take a look at the broader venture administration image.

All of those issues are solvable, however they’re not issues you wish to resolve again and again (in each conditions—if you’re orchestrating LLM batch jobs or orchestrating AI coding instruments). Fixing these issues within the code gave some fascinating classes in regards to the general method to agentic engineering. Batch processing strikes the complexity from connection administration to state administration. Actual-time APIs are exhausting due to fee limits and retries. Batch APIs are exhausting as a result of you need to observe what’s in flight, what succeeded, what failed, and what’s subsequent.

Earlier than I began improvement, I went on the lookout for current instruments that dealt with this mix of issues, as a result of I didn’t wish to waste my time reinventing the wheel. I didn’t discover something that did the job I wanted. Workflow orchestrators like Apache Airflow and Dagster handle DAGs and job dependencies, however they assume duties are deterministic and don’t present LLM-specific options like immediate template rendering, schema-based output validation, or retry logic triggered by semantic high quality checks. LLM frameworks like LangChain and LlamaIndex are designed round real-time inference chains and agent loops—they don’t handle asynchronous batch job lifecycles, persist state throughout course of crashes, or deal with partial failure restoration on the chunk stage. And the batch API consumer libraries from the suppliers themselves deal with submission and retrieval for a single batch, however not multistage pipelines, cross-step validation, or provider-agnostic execution.

Nothing I discovered coated the total lifecycle of multiphase LLM batch workflows, from submission and polling by means of validation, retry, price monitoring, and crash restoration, throughout all three main AI suppliers. That’s what I constructed.

Classes from the experiment

The aim of this text, as the primary one in my sequence on agentic engineering and AI-driven improvement, is to put out the speculation and construction of the Octobatch experiment. The remainder of the sequence goes deep on the teachings I discovered from it: the validation structure, multi-LLM coordination, the practices and values that emerged from the work, and the orchestration mindset that ties all of it collectively. A number of early classes stand out, as a result of they illustrate what AIDD seems to be like in apply and why developer expertise issues greater than ever.

  • It’s a must to run issues and examine the info. Bear in mind the drunken sailor, the “Good day, world” of Monte Carlo simulations? At one level I seen that once I ran the simulation by means of Octobatch, 77.5% of the sailors fell within the water. The outcomes for a random stroll ought to be 50/50, so clearly one thing was badly unsuitable. It turned out the random quantity generator was being re-seeded at each iteration with sequential seed values, which created correlation bias between runs. I didn’t establish the issue instantly; I ran a bunch of exams utilizing Claude Code as a check runner to generate every check, run it, and log the outcomes; Gemini seemed on the outcomes and located the foundation trigger. Claude had bother arising with a repair that labored effectively, and proposed a workaround with a big listing of preseeded random quantity values within the pipeline. Gemini proposed a hash-based repair reviewing my conversations with Claude, however it appeared overly complicated. As soon as I understood the issue and rejected their proposed options, I made a decision the perfect repair was less complicated than both of the AI’s solutions: a persistent RNG per simulation unit that superior naturally by means of its sequence. I wanted to know each the statistics and the code to guage these three choices. Believable-looking output and proper output aren’t the identical factor, and also you want sufficient experience to inform the distinction. (We’ll discuss extra about this example within the subsequent article within the sequence.)
  • LLMs typically overestimate complexity. At one level I wished so as to add assist for customized mathematical expressions within the evaluation pipeline. Each Claude and Gemini pushed again, telling me, “That is scope creep for v1.0” and “Reserve it for v1.1.” Claude estimated three hours to implement. As a result of I knew the codebase, I knew we have been already utilizing asteval, a Python library that gives a secure, minimalistic evaluator for mathematical expressions and easy Python statements, elsewhere to guage expressions, so this appeared like a simple use of a library we’re already utilizing elsewhere. Each LLMs thought the answer could be way more complicated and time-consuming than it really was; it took simply two prompts to Claude Code (generated by Claude), and about 5 minutes whole to implement. The function shipped and made the device considerably extra highly effective. The AIs have been being conservative as a result of they didn’t have my context in regards to the system’s structure. Expertise informed me the mixing could be trivial. With out that have, I’d have listened to them and deferred a function that took 5 minutes.
  • AI is commonly biased towards including code, not deleting it. Generative AI is, unsurprisingly, biased towards era. So once I requested the LLMs to repair issues, their first response was typically so as to add extra code, including one other layer or one other particular case. I can’t consider a single time in the entire venture when one of many AIs stepped again and stated, “Tear this out and rethink the method.” The most efficient periods have been those the place I overrode that intuition and pushed for simplicity. That is one thing skilled builders be taught over a profession: Essentially the most profitable adjustments typically delete greater than they add—the PRs we brag about are those that delete hundreds of strains of code.
  • The structure emerged from failure. The AI instruments and I didn’t design Octobatch’s core structure up entrance. Our first try was a Python script with in-memory state and plenty of hope. It labored for small batches however fell aside at scale: A community hiccup meant restarting from scratch, a malformed response required guide triage. Numerous issues fell into place after I added the constraint that the system should survive being killed at any second. That single requirement led to the tick mannequin (get up, examine state, do work, persist, exit), the manifest file as supply of fact, and the complete crash-recovery structure. We found the design by repeatedly failing to do one thing less complicated.
  • Your improvement historical past is a dataset. I simply informed you many tales from the Octobatch venture, and this sequence might be filled with them. Each a kind of tales got here from going again by means of the chat logs between me, Claude, and Gemini. With AIDD, you’ve a whole transcript of each architectural resolution, each unsuitable flip, each second the place you overruled the AI and each second the place it corrected you. Only a few improvement groups have ever had that stage of constancy of their venture historical past. Mining these logs for classes discovered seems to be one of the vital invaluable practices I’ve discovered.

Close to the top of the venture, I switched to Cursor to verify none of this was particular to Claude Code. I created recent conversations utilizing the identical context recordsdata I’d been sustaining all through improvement, and was in a position to bootstrap productive periods instantly; the context recordsdata labored precisely as designed. The practices I’d developed transferred cleanly to a unique device. The worth of this method comes from the habits, the context administration, and the engineering judgment you deliver to the dialog, not from any specific vendor.

These instruments are shifting the world in a path that favors builders who perceive the methods engineering can go unsuitable and know stable design and structure patterns…and who’re okay letting go of management of each line of code.

What’s subsequent

Agentic engineering wants construction, and construction wants a concrete instance to make it actual. The subsequent article on this sequence goes into Octobatch itself, as a result of the best way it orchestrates AI is a remarkably shut parallel to what AIDD asks builders to do. Octobatch assigns roles to completely different processing steps, manages handoffs between them, validates their outputs, and recovers after they fail. That’s the identical sample I adopted when constructing it: assigning roles to Claude and Gemini, managing handoffs between them, validating their outputs, and recovering after they went down the unsuitable path. Understanding how the system works seems to be a great way to know methods to orchestrate AI-driven improvement. I’ll stroll by means of the structure, present what an actual pipeline seems to be like from immediate to outcomes, current the info from a 300-hand blackjack Monte Carlo simulation that places all of those concepts to the check, and use all of that to display concepts we will apply on to agentic engineering and AI-driven improvement.

Later articles go deeper into the practices and concepts I discovered from this experiment that make AI-driven improvement work: how I coordinated a number of AI fashions with out shedding management of the structure, what occurred once I examined the code in opposition to what I really meant to construct, and what I discovered in regards to the hole between code that runs and code that does what you meant. Alongside the best way, the experiment produced some findings about how completely different AI fashions see code that I didn’t count on—and that turned out to matter greater than I assumed they’d.

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